- Dogecoin is hanging onto the $0.16 support level after dropping over 10% in a single day, largely triggered by Bitcoin’s crash following a Trump vs. Musk fallout.
- Analysts say $0.16 is a crucial make-or-break zone—if bulls defend it, a rebound toward $0.48 is possible; if it breaks, a deeper crash may follow.
- Despite the sell-off, DOGE shows some bullish signs, including a breakout above a descending trendline and holding above its 200-week moving average.
The crypto market’s been through the wringer lately, and yeah—Dogecoin didn’t escape the storm. After Bitcoin got smacked down following a public spat between Trump and Elon Musk (go figure), DOGE took a nosedive, dropping more than 10% in just one day. Now it’s hanging on by a thread at $0.16—a level that, according to some analysts, might decide whether this meme coin bounces back or sinks deeper.
Why Everyone’s Staring at $0.16
Crypto analyst The Alchemist Trader pointed out that $0.16 isn’t just some random number—it’s a line in the sand. Over the past few weeks, Dogecoin’s been floating around key levels, but this one feels different. Earlier this week, things were looking kinda decent. DOGE even pushed above its 200-day moving average, which usually gets folks excited. Buyers jumped in, hoping they were getting a bargain, and for a brief moment, the vibe shifted bullish.
But then, boom—Bitcoin crashed. And it dragged the entire market down with it.

The Crash Heard Around Crypto
Thursday brought chaos. Bitcoin’s sudden drop triggered a chain reaction, and Dogecoin, which had just been trying to claw its way back up, tumbled fast. It blew past $0.18 support like it wasn’t even there and now flirts dangerously close to $0.16. Sure, $0.17 tried to offer some cushion, but it didn’t hold. Now? $0.16 is the last real defense before things could get seriously ugly.
The Alchemist says if DOGE breaks below $0.16, it could freefall. But—if bulls manage to hold the line, that might set the stage for a turnaround. He’s even hinting at a possible run to $0.48, which would be nearly 200% higher from here. Wild, right? But stranger things have happened.
Bulls Still Have a Few Cards to Play
Even with the sell-off, there are some glimmers of hope. Dogecoin recently broke out above a long-term descending trendline—a technical sign that the worst of the downtrend might be over. Plus, it’s still holding above its 200-week moving average, which historically is kinda a big deal.
The Alchemist put it like this:
“This breakout, coupled with sustained strength above the 200-week MA, may set the stage for a significant move to the upside.”
Big if, though.
Final Thoughts: Eyes on the Line
So here we are. DOGE is wobbling right at $0.16, and that level could either act as the springboard for a new rally—or the trapdoor to lower lows. Trump and Musk stirred the pot, the market’s twitchy, and traders are on edge. If buyers step up and defend this zone, maybe… just maybe… the path to $0.48 opens up again.
But if $0.16 cracks? Buckle up.