VanEck’s Bold Prediction: Solana to Hit $520 by 2025 and Here is Why

• VanEck projects Solana’s market share to reach 22% by 2025, pushing SOL’s price to $520.
• Solana leads in DEX volumes and chain revenues, with MEV contributing 56% of its revenue stream.
• Solana’s dapp ecosystem now surpasses Ethereum in revenue share, with 7,625 new developers joining in 2024.

Solana (SOL) currently holds a 15% share of the smart contract platform (SCP) market, with projections by VanEck indicating it could rise to 22% by the end of 2025. This growth could drive SOL’s price to $520, fueled by an expanding developer base, increased decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes, and rising network revenue.

Market Expansion and Price Potential

VanEck’s valuation ties Solana’s market share to U.S. M2 money supply growth, which is expected to reach $22.3 trillion by late 2025. Regression models project a 43% increase in the SCP market cap, pushing it to $1.1 trillion. Solana’s share could hit $250 billion, implying a price of $520 per token, based on 486 million floating tokens.

Revenue Scaling and MEV Growth

As of early 2024, Solana leads with 45% of DEX volumes, 45% of chain revenues, and 33% of daily active wallets. The network could generate $6 billion in annualized revenue, primarily from base fees, priority fees, and maximal extractable value (MEV). Currently, MEV accounts for 56% of Solana’s revenue, with ongoing improvements like the Jito system and Firedancer expected to further optimize MEV capture.

The report suggests that Solana’s MEV structure, where block builders retain 60% of MEV value, is inefficient due to private memory pools and insider practices. Proposed solutions include validator whitelists, RFQ pricing systems, and enhanced DEX transparency to boost validator revenue by up to 56%.

Dapp Ecosystem Growth

Solana’s decentralized application (dapp) ecosystem has surged past Ethereum in revenue share. By 2024, Solana captured 42% of dapp revenue, up from just 0.26% in 2022, while Ethereum’s share dropped to 32%. Developer activity has also flourished, with 7,625 new developers joining Solana in 2024, surpassing Ethereum’s 6,456.

If the network successfully optimizes MEV and other protocol enhancements, demand for SOL could spike, supporting a price target above $500 by year’s end. This growth would further cement Solana’s position as a dominant player in the blockchain space.