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$680 Million in ADA Leaves Exchanges: Could a Supply Shock Send Cardano to $3?

by Drop Gorn
May 20, 2025
in Cardano, Crypto, Finance, Opinion
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$680 Million in ADA Leaves Exchanges: Could a Supply Shock Send Cardano to $3?
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  • Bullish Netflows: Nearly 980 million ADA—around $680M—has left exchanges in 2025, mirroring a 2021 trend that preceded a 75% rally.
  • Current Price & Potential: ADA trades near $0.72; breaking $0.81 could push it toward $1, with some analysts forecasting a possible climb to $3.
  • Sentiment Rising: Analysts highlight ADA’s slow but steady growth, with negative netflows signaling reduced sell pressure and growing long-term confidence.

Cardano (ADA) might be down around 9% this week, but some key metrics hint it could be gearing up for a rebound — maybe even a run toward previous highs. One standout signal? Exchange netflow, which has stayed mostly negative for months.

Investors Pull Nearly a Billion ADA Off Exchanges

According to CoinGlass, since the start of 2025, nearly 980 million ADA tokens have been moved off exchanges — worth about $680 million at current prices. Only one week in that span saw positive netflows. The trend is strikingly similar to what happened back in 2021, when ADA jumped from under $1.80 to over $3, a nearly 75% move.

Right now, ADA’s sitting at about $0.72. If we saw a repeat of that 2021-style rally? Price could climb past $1.25. Even if it doesn’t get that high, consistent negative netflow is still bullish — it usually signals people are shifting to self-custody and are less likely to sell short term.

Cardano Ada Exchange Netflow

Price Predictions & Market Sentiment

Some analysts are starting to get excited. Ali Martinez said ADA could push to $1 if it first breaks above the $0.81 level. Another voice, a user named Henry with nearly 120k followers on X, described ADA like the ocean — “calm, deep, and misunderstood.”

Henry added, “While the crowd chases fireworks, Cardano is shaping infrastructure. Slow is smooth. Smooth is fast.” He predicts ADA could reach $3 sometime this year.

Final Thought

There’s no guarantee ADA takes off tomorrow, but between historical patterns, bullish netflow data, and growing analyst optimism, the tide might just be starting to turn. As always though — crypto moves fast, so keep your eyes open and your strategy tighter.

Tags: $ADAAli MartinezCardanoCoinglassX
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